Probability (revised)
I like to think of statistics as a study of the past while probability is a study of the future. For many students, probability is the most difficult section of the course. The Advanced Placement curriculum is careful not to overemphasize probability. It is merely a waystation for conditional probability, the backbone of inference. I have always enjoyed teaching probability although there is no mathematical topic I respect more. I always get bogged down in these chapters because of my like for the material and I probably have way too much material here. It is important not to focus on strict probability questions and focus on random variables and binomial distributions. Since the halfway point of this course usually occurs while teaching probability, I have included a midterm in this unit.

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Contents of the Probability Material
Cover page: For each of the sections, I have a cover page that describes the material and what it includes. I suggest that you read it for each section. Material that is new or revised I indicated in red.
Teaching. These are documents that the teacher uses for facetoface teaching. It walks students through a process like doing regression or a hypothesis test. There are several problems that teachers will do with the students in class and homework problem, found in the exercises mimic them. The contents of the teaching packet are described in the cover pages.
Exercises. This is the bulk of the material. It contains homework problems, quizzes, and exams, and simulations to try. In the Inference section, there are two exercise files because of the great number of concepts taught. The contents of the exercise packet are described in the cover pages.
YouTube Video and Powerpoint. Several concepts are further explained with an examples using a YouTube video. This are narrated. An unnarrated version and a script that go with them might be used by teachers who want more control of the video. These are in Powerpoint format. Powerpoints are compatible with the Windows version of Microsoft Office 2010 and later and the Mac version of Microsoft Office 2011 and later.
Free downloads
Cover 
More indepth descriptions of contents

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(2.4 mb)

Teaching
1. Probability terms/rules
2. Venn diagrams (new)
3. Conditional probability
4. Tree diagrams (new)
5. Random variables
6. Binomial/Geometric dist.
7. Binomial apps (new)

Disjoint and Independence
Answering probability questions
Using tables
Answering probability questions
Mean and standard deviation
Terms and formulas
Conclusion from binomial dist.

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(2.1 mb)

Exercises
1. Venn diagrams (new)
2. Conditional probability
3. Tree diagrams (new)
4. Take home exam
5. Random variables
6. Expected value
7. Quiz
8. Practice quiz
9. Quiz
10. Binomial dist. (new)
11. Binomial dist.
12. Take home exercise
13. Geometric dist.
14. Practice quiz
15. Quiz
16. Exam (new)
17. Midterm

Calculating probabilities
Using tables
Calculating probabilities
Probability  3 different exams
Calculating probabilities
Mean and standard deviation
Expected value
Random variables
Random variables
Determine criteria
Calculating probabilities
Binomial probabilities
Calculating probabilities
Random var, binomial, geometric
Random var, binomial, geometric
All of probability unit
Cumulative

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(1.4 mb)

YouTube Video
Conditional Prob (new)

Narrated version given.
Unnarrated version & script given
in solution version.

https://youtu.be/St7G1bPDPes 
By downloading the free guides, you have the right to make as many copies as you wish as long as you use them for facetoface classroom use. Solutions cannot be posted on the Internet nor placed on a school's website except with special permission. Any questions, contact me at team@mastermathmentor.com.

Purchase the Probability Answer Key!
Only $29.95 (for download) 

Purchase options. 
Purchase entire set of answer keys for all AP Stat materials!
Only $99.95 (for download) 

Purchase options. 

Another purchase options include ordering our AP Stat materials on a flash drive. Click here for details! 
Click HERE to access the downloads for a previous purchase
(must be within 7 days of original purchase)
