 Probability (revised)

I like to think of statistics as a study of the past while probability is a study of the future. For many students, probability is the most difficult section of the course. The Advanced Placement curriculum is careful not to over-emphasize probability. It is merely a way-station for conditional probability, the backbone of inference. I have always enjoyed teaching probability although there is no mathematical topic I respect more. I always get bogged down in these chapters because of my like for the material and I probably have way too much material here. It is important not to focus on strict probability questions and focus on random variables and binomial distributions.  Since the halfway point of this course usually occurs while teaching probability, I have included a midterm in this unit.
 Purchase the Probability Answer Key! Only \$29.95 (for download) Purchase options. Purchase entire set of answer keys for all AP Stat materials! Only \$99.95 (for download) Purchase options. Another purchase options include is ordering our AP Stat materials on a flash drive.  Click here for details!

Contents of the Probability Material

Cover page: For each of the sections, I have a cover page that describes the material and what it includes. I suggest that you read it for each section. Material that is new or revised I indicated in red.

Teaching. These are documents that the teacher uses for face-to-face teaching. It walks students through a process like doing regression or a hypothesis test. There are several problems that teachers will do with the students in class and homework problem, found in the exercises mimic them. The contents of the teaching packet are described in the cover pages.

Exercises.  This is the bulk of the material. It contains homework problems, quizzes, and exams, and simulations to try. In the Inference section, there are two exercise files because of the great number of concepts taught. The contents of the exercise packet are described in the cover pages.

 Cover More in-depth descriptions of contents (2.4 mb) Teaching    1. Probability terms/rules    2. Venn diagrams (new)    3. Conditional probability    4. Tree diagrams (new)    5. Random variables    6. Binomial/Geometric dist.    7. Binomial apps (new) Disjoint and Independence Answering probability questions Using tables Answering probability questions Mean and standard deviation Terms and formulas Conclusion from binomial dist. (2.1 mb) Exercises    1. Venn diagrams (new)    2. Conditional probability    3. Tree diagrams (new)    4. Take home exam    5. Random variables    6. Expected value    7. Quiz    8. Practice quiz    9. Quiz    10. Binomial dist. (new)    11. Binomial dist.    12. Take home exercise    13. Geometric dist.    14. Practice quiz    15. Quiz    16. Exam (new)    17. Midterm Calculating probabilities Using tables Calculating probabilities Probability - 3 different exams Calculating probabilities Mean and standard deviation Expected value Random variables Random variables Determine criteria Calculating probabilities Binomial probabilities Calculating probabilities Random var, binomial, geometric Random var, binomial, geometric All of probability unit Cumulative (1.4 mb) Powerpoints   Conditional Prob (new) Only available in solution version    Narrated/unnarrated/script

By downloading the free guides, you have the right to make as many copies as you wish as long as you use them for face-to-face classroom use. Solutions cannot be posted on the Internet nor placed on a school's website except with special permission. Any questions, contact me at team@mastermathmentor.com.

 Purchase the Probability Answer Key! Only \$29.95 (for download) Purchase options. Purchase entire set of answer keys for all AP Stat materials! Only \$99.95 (for download) Purchase options. Another purchase options include ordering our AP Stat materials on a flash drive.  Click here for details!